A Portrait of the Dumbass as an Old Man

Sunday, September 27, 2026

The Shan Has Fit The Hit - September 25-27

Goddamm, I am so trying to get caught up with these stories, but now that GenAI/LLMs/Agents are "tonight's top story" day after day after day, it's tempting to declare victory & turn it over to the adults.

Except, the adults appear, more often than not, to be buying into the Reality TV histrionics of the the entire GenAI/LLM industry: OpenAI, Anthropic, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Nvidia, Broadcom. The Mag 7+.

OK, I just pasted 12 article dividers. How far can I get? I've been breaking at the end of the day, but, to clear this backlog, I may leave the post open until tomorrow & finish it then. Monday is my day off - no exercise, no shaving, solid food for breakfast. Maybe I can get 'er dun.

From the New York Times.

Being a Doctor Will Never Be the Same After A.I.
I have a confession: A.I. is making me a better doctor. And I worry that it’s making doctors-in-training worse.

We've seen this before. Yes, he is right about doctors-in-training: if they use AI, they will never develop their own skills. Their brains will never develop.

But, he is deluding himself about the effect of AI on his own brain. Study after study shows, AI use erodes the skills of even accomplished practioners.

From 404 Media.

Podcast: OpenAI Admits AI is Killing the Internet
Microsoft and OpenAI admit it; how we got AI slop onto a real band's Spotify page; and AI agent spam is here.

Seriously, fuck these guys. Shut them down, with prejudice. Let academia carry on GenAI research.

Of course, these guys are practicing capitalism at its ~~finest~~ worst, at this point I could maybe be jailed for expressing opposition to such fine ~~assholes~~ capitalists.

From security expert Bruce Schneier.

On Anthropic’s AI Misuse Report
Earlier this month, Anthropic published a long report detailing all of the Claude misuses it detected. Daniel Meissler usefully summarized the report into 117 findings.

117??? Spoiler alert, you ain't seen nothing yet. These companies are intentionally careless to the point of incompetence, because it creates such great drama to keep their fucking bubble inflated.

From Gary Marcus.

BREAKING: OpenAI’s security fiasco explodes — and could tank Jensen Huang’s reputation
More and more facts are coming out and they are absolutely damning

Damning??? No $T IPO???

Jensen Huang, the 7th richest oligarch in the world, cares shit about his reputation. He's just doing rope-a-dope, trying to be on both sides of any accusations, to protect his $$$. What would make you think anything different?

From economist Jared Bernstein.

AI Companies Are In a Race Against Time
They may disemploy us; they may wipe us out. But right now, their lack of profitability underscores our bubble case.

Bubble? Bubble? Bubble?

As I have I think said a few x now, the GenAI industry strategy is now switched to "stall, stall, stall", to put off the day when NOONE can deny that these companies will ever be profitable.

From the Persuasion SubStack of Sam Kahn.

The Anti-Social Media
Some survey results on the uses of AI.

The precis: social media fucks up human relationships, particularly for young people.

Chatbots fuck up human relationships even worse. Particularly for young people.

Hey, no worries, techbros going to be making $T, I'm sure they'll pay for everyone's therapy!

From Will Lockett's Newsletter on SubStack.

The 'AI Slowdown' Is Utter Bullshit
It's corporate subterfuge all over again.

Ahhh, well said, Will, well said!

I think he & I are on the same team!

From Bethany McLean, a financial journalist & an author of “The Smartest Guys in the Room”, via the New York Times.

What Happens if the A.I. Bubble Bursts
This technology may be critical to the future of the United States, but preserving it doesn’t mean we have to bail out the private entities that are leading the field at this particular moment, nor does it mean we have to protect the fortunes of their investors and executives. The solution to the whole ever-expanding A.I. terror starts with remembering the lessons of the 2008 crisis: No company should be too big to fail.

Ugh, already they are starting with the "too big to fail" verbiage.

Please, tell me, what exactly would be the downside if Generative AI, LLMs, chatbots, agents, were to disappear tomorrow?

If I no longer have to figure out creative ways to get past fucking chatbots to be able to talk a human being - I don't care where in the world they are - I will sacrifice a bull or whatever, to Mercury, or whoever the god of commerce currently is.

September 26. From Gary Marcus. Remember when we thought 117 was a big number?

BREAKING: AI agent incident toll has risen to tens of thousands
Meanwhile, the US government appears to be paralyzed

Scoop: from Axios.

Scoop: Top AI companies probing 10s of thousands of security indicents.

Oops?

Error rates (=== failed to accomplish its task) for LLM-based agents I have seen to be 10-50%. Not so good.

But, on top of that, the genie effect - people weren't careful enough about that they wished for, & the genies, just following orders, wreaked havoc. Gawd, can we shut these things down?

Yes, sometimes they work. Whoopie!

Other times, they book people trips to places that don't exist - but, the places sound really plausible.

Or, they break into places they have no reason going, because they think it might help them fulfill the tasks given to them by their (clueless) human masters.

But, even before "AI": you could build scripted bots, written in perl, or PHP, or python & tell them to go attack places & they would go & do their best. GenAI agents are somewhat better at this stuff, but, it is not really any kind of new tech or existential challenge. (AI as Normal Technology)

All these breakins are due to incredibly incompetent security practices at Anthropic & apparently the worst, OpenAI. They should face criminal charges for this, IMO.

From the Apricitas Economics Substack of Joseph Politano.

AI and the Fall? of the Creative Class
America is Losing Hundreds of Thousands of Jobs in Media, Film & the Arts. How Much is AI to Blame?

Lots of charts (yay!), I'd say, in general, it doesn't look good.

Still maybe the charts are saying, you can no longer earn a living from these creative jobs. So, we know that these jobs need to be done, so this is a case for Universal Basic Income, to let creatives be creative & not worry about the $$$.

Here is a voice I have not heard from in a while, Namez Raam. I think he wrote a very good sci-fi sequence.

Can AI self-improvement overcome diminishing returns?
AI self-improvement may not be powerful enough to overcome diminishing returns. Even RSI may not lead to a fast takeoff to ASI (superintelligence).

Just from his phrasing, Namez seems to be A Believer. But, his approach to the subject seems to be scientific. & I think his analysis of RSI (Recursive Self Improvement) is the same as mine, based on what is being published: no way, no how, error rates are way too high. At these kind of error rates, you immediately spiral downward into Degenerative AI, aka Model Collapse.

Finally! Will Lockett again.

Microsoft Knew How Horrific Their AI Push Was
But they did it anyway.

It's so nice to have Will on my team!

This, based on Microsoft documents released to the court trying the trial of the theft of the content of the entire world by GenAI training bots. Reading this, it is indeeed horrific.

In 1999, I was working on a Y2K upgrade plus client-server to web-based product upgrade. Maybe 150 consultants working on the product. Me & my employee & 2 Canadians basically made the whole project work.
The whole thing was using Microsoft tech. I've hated Microsoft since they produced the crappy PCs whose legacy still is that most computers are inherrently insecure.
So one day, on the white board of the main developer workroom, I wrote "Death to Microsoft".
My coworker spoke Italian, Egyptian, & something else. He added those translations.
The Indians added Urdu + ??? The Chinese added ???
After a week, we had "Death to Microsoft" in 52 languages on that whiteboard!
Of course, at that point, management got involved & told us we were intimidating our Microsoft partner consultants onsite - 1 of whom was a gun nut who liked to flash his .45 - so the board got erased. I think that was before smartphones, so no one captured an image :-(

So, you know, it's really kind of sad that, I think due to human nature, we love to become fanboys for new tech companies: Google and "don't be evil"; Apple's various rebel marketing campaigns.

But, we should never forget: we are dealing with corporations, the semi-immortal organisms that use humans as neurons and/or gut flora. They care nothing about us, nothing about the planet. They care only about $$$. They must be stopped.

The transformer really generated some amazing shit! Who could have imagined that 1 algorithm, coupled with $M of GPU chips, could be such an incredibly good next-word-guesser?

The next-word-guessed outputs are really amazing - a talking dog, a dancing bear!

But, this totally a "close, but no cigar" deal. The tech is too unreliable, you cannot build reliable systems on it. IMO.

Yay! Caught up!

Here's the home page/directory for my posts on Bullshit. This is post #152.

Saturday, September 26, 2026

The Shan Has Hit The Fit - September 23-24

Hmmm. Reasoning Language Models, RLMs. Sounds promising. From Bruce Schneier.

Research on Models Engaging in Genie-Like Behavior
New paper: “Self-Jailbreaking: Language Models Can Reason Themselves Out of Safety Alignment After Benign Reasoning Training.”
Abstract: We discover a novel and surprising phenomenon of unintentional misalignment in reasoning language models (RLMs), which we call self-jailbreaking. Specifically, after benign reasoning training on math or code domains, RLMs will use multiple strategies to circumvent their own safety guardrails.

It's really interesting to see fairy tales come true: when dealing with genies, be very careful what you wish for.

I'm surprised I have not heard more on the RLMs. It certainly doesn't justify a tag at this point. I'm guessing that I have not heard more because, unlike next word guessing once you have the transformer architecture, this shit is hard.

The UN has made Gary Marcus happy. I am still disappointed & concerned that this is mostly being framed in the narrative of the AI Labs.

Historic UN Security Council Briefing on AI
We all agree on what needs to be done. Now let’s do it.
...
The only real false note came from some self-congratulatory hype in the speeches of Altman and Amodei, especially Amodei’s.

Wow, those false notes are a shocker - NOT!

September 24. The Age of the Grift seems to also be The Age of Reality TV. We have the government of the US as a Reality TV Show. The ongoing drama of the AI Labs - stop us before we destroy everything! - is cut from the same cloth. & for the same end - to swindle people out of money. Capitalism, FTL.

This by Nvidia's Jensen Huang - currently the 7th richest oligarch in the world at $195B. He must be desperate about something. This whole "slow development down" thing is the whole GenAI industry desperately trying to keep the bill from coming due. Yah, there's going to be profit & ROI RSN (Real Soon Now)! We just should slow things for our (never-to-be-profitable) products for safety's sake!

LOL, what a grift! From Gary Marcus.

“I think the answer is we have to shut the labs down” - Jensen Huang
OpenAI hacks a foreign government — and the US faces its most critical AI test yet.

Marcus strongly identifies OpenAI as a very bad actor in this drama. I think this next from a footnote is a great idea.

There is a giant loophole here that Congress should address. A lot of the legal definitions for computer crimes require intent, and the AI companies can argue that their software has no intent. We must expand the scope of the computer-crime laws to include wholesale negligence and repeated crimes.

From Yanis Varoufakis (a former finance minister of Greece, Leader of the MeRA25 party, Professor of Economics at the University of Athens, and a senior research fellow at Fudan University) via Project Syndicate.

The AI Productivity Delusion
As with previous technological revolutions, it is natural to focus on AI's net effects: Will it create more than it destroys? But unlike previous eras of creative destruction, the real question this time is, “Create more of what?”
...
The question of whether AI will generate massive productivity gains is easy to answer: Yes. AI is already proving capable of exponentially increasing the amount of work that is being done per human worker. But as long as it is used to eliminate wage labor while syphoning off profits from actual markets into our tech lords’ cloud rents, the economic value produced per worker will tank.

I think he's agreeing with my assertion that GenAI can be a great productivity tool for experienced workers, but trying to use it to replace people (gawd, I hate chatbots so much!) is going to be a disaster.

Interesting, others besides me framing the whole GenAI bubble as drama. But they seem to be drinking the kool-aid. From the editors of Project Syndicate. After their intro, there are 7, count 'em, 7 very good articles on the GenAI drama, including the Yanis Varoufakis article we just linked to.

The AI Plot Thickens
When it comes to AI, it is difficult to know what to believe. Are the CEOs, researchers, and investors who tout the technology’s seemingly unlimited capabilities more credible, because they work directly with it, or less credible, because they stand to profit handsomely from further investment? While misplaced optimism could fuel a financial bubble, we have seen in recent months that underestimating the risks posed by AI could also carry other, even existential, costs.

From the "Productics by Igor" SubStack. I've known a couple of Igors, they were both very bright.

The Next Ten Years After the AI Bubble Bursts
$725 billion is being spent to serve a consumption pattern that NVIDIA is already shipping products to end
...
That the current pricing is not a business model but a subsidy, while every valuation assumes a demand curve that named buyers have already bent: Uber capping engineers at $1,500 a month, Microsoft cancelling most of its Claude Code licences, a third of Vercel’s gateway tokens now running on open weights for under 4% of the spend.

This is a very technical, very deep dive into the whole LLM circular investing mess. Maybe the biggest take-away: Nvidia is hedging desktop models against data center frontier models. Hmmm ...

From Cal Newport, a professor of computer science at Georgetown University and the author of “Deep Work”, via the New York Times.

Dear Congress: Here’s What You Should Ask A.I. Leaders

What specific types of A.I. technology are you worried about?
My very 1st post on the Bullshit Apocalypse, I bemoaned the appropriation of the term "AI" by the LLM companies. I think this is the issue that is being raised here.
What are the safety procedures surrounding your research efforts? ...

What is the ultimate goal of your A.I. company? ...

We need to stop letting a small number of private companies, acting and talking in increasingly erratic ways, dictate how we’re supposed to feel about A.I. We’ve heard what they want to say; now it’s Congress’s turn to step in on our behalf to find out what’s really going on.

Here's the home page/directory for my posts on Bullshit. This is post #151.

Friday, September 25, 2026

The Hit Has Fit The Shan - September 22

GenAI things I have forgotten to rant & rave about:

The LLMs are very bad at working outside the range of their training. They are not good at extrapolating. So they must continually be retrained, at huge cost. Really, really bad, expensive tech.
Yet another annoying attempt to conflate LLMs with humans: the term "alignment". Will "AI" goals stay "aligned" with human goals?
What BULLSHIT! LLMs do what they are told. They have no "goals" of their own.
But, they are indeed very much like genies. Be careful what you wish for. "AI" agents will do stuff you would never have imagined in the pursuit of the goals you gave them. The have absolutely 0 CommonSense™.
DO NOT USE THIS HORRIBLY UNTRUSTWORTHY TECHNOLOGY!

From Henry Farrell's Programable Mutter SubStack:

Machine god metaphors eat your brain
There are other ways of thinking about AI

I think we'll see this later from others. The basic idea: LLM output seems so much like human output, we naturally assume that there is something like a human intellect producing the LLM output.

Wrong, wrong, wrong. LLMs are statistics-based "next word" generators. They work NOTHING like the human brain.

The AI Lab companies have tried very hard to conflate LLMs with the human brain. For instance, "hallucinations" vs "errors" or "wrong answers".

From Douglas Rushkoff's SubStack:

Money is a Forever Chemical, AI is Forever Slop
How do we keep it from accumulating in the organs of a living culture?

China is giving away GenAI for free? How is the US GenAI industry supposed to get rid of its $1.5T debt???

This also revisits a Doctorow trope: all the AI slop being generated now is asbestos that we are building into the walls of our civilization. How many decades will it take for us to dig it all out?

Yawn. Yet again "AI" === "Actually Indians". From 404 Media:

Meta Tests Muse AI Agent Calls That Are Actually Made By Humans in a Call Center
"This has potential for so much negative PR. It could portray us as ‘their AI is not good enough so they still need humans’ kind of coverage for this launch."

Gary Marcus adds his $0.02 on the same story.

The secret behind Meta’s Muse
The new secret is the old secret

Here's the home page/directory for my posts on Bullshit. This is post #150.

Thursday, September 24, 2026

The Fit Has Hit The Shan - September 21

Wow. 10 days ago, in this post, I commented on how "AI" was now the story of stories, non-stop coverage on CNN, etc.

[Oh, of course, totally NOT just a distraction from the Epstein Files. Gawd knows we can't have 100s of rich old white men going to prison for raping underage girls.]

It's only gotten worse since then. Something Must Be Done About "AI".

I guess that's good. But, on the other hand, it is happening within the framework created by the AI labs:

- our products are so powerful, we can't control them!
- we need to slow down! Somebody stop us!

This is, IMO, COMPLETE & UTTER BULLSHIT!

All these "AIs" hacking other companies mostly shows that AI labs, OpenAI in particular, REALLY, REALLY SUCK AT COMPUTER SECURITY!

These kinds of attacks happened before GenAI. GenAI does appear to be very good at attacking other computers. So why are the AI Labs running these "tests" & screwing up so badly?

BECAUSE IT MAKES GREAT THEATER! Reality TV writ large.

They want to slow things down because THEIR PRODUCTS BASICALLY DON'T WORK.

So their strategy to keep the bubble inflated is, rope-a-dope, keep manufacturing "scary" incidents, & meanwhile, "pay no attention to the complete insanity of our business models."

I haven't seen anything about LLMs getting below their lowest error rate of 9%. I haven't seen anything about GenAI-based agents getting below a 10-50% error rate.

THIS TECHNOLOGY IS NOT TRUSTWORTHY! DON"T USE IT!

Wow, what fun, ranting & raving!

Meanwhile ... GenAI is the story of stories. But it's all based on, this is some transcendental technology.

The whole thing is actually based on 1 algorithm, the transformer, discovered by Google Translate researchers in 2017. It allows for parallel processing of text tokens, perfect for the matrix manipulation powers of GPUs.

Who would have dreamed that AutoComplete on Steroids could do all that GenAI does? But, a next-word-guessing algorithm, based on all the (stolen) content of our civilization, is not a framework that will ever get anywhere near anything vaguely like real, human intelligence.

Yes, a talking dog, a dancing bear: amazing things! But from Cory Doctorow last week:

"The wonder is not that the dancing bear dances well, it is that the bear dances at all."

Yes, the stuff LLMs produce is very impressive, but ...

It is still all "AI" slop. & guess what, the people hired by the AI Labs to provide human oversight on the models are using LLMs in their work. Can you say "Model Collapse"? Can you say "Degenerative AI"?

& even without the 9% error rate, there is still Semantic Ablation. & Stylistic Ablation. All of human writing, in a race to LLM mediocrity.

Yes, if you are a human who doesn't write well, using an LLM will make your writing much more impressive ... as long as you don't mind it reading like everyone else's writing.

I will repeat what I have said before: every experienced, senior software developer I know finds Claude Code to be a real productivity enhancer. GenAI is a useful tool as long as the people using it HAVE THE KNOWLEDGE & EXPERIENCE TO CHECK ITS OUTPUTS.

Otherwise, it is the road to hell.

Phew! I feel much better now! OK, time to slog through the accumulated posts ... 15 of them. :-( Hmmm, starting from September 21.

I think the whole NYT Opinions page was GenAI articles.

Bernie Sanders, Steve Case and Susan Rice on How to Avert A.I. Disaster
Given the risk that artificial intelligence may spiral out of control, more than 1,300 employees at A.I. companies have called for government intervention. President Trump announced on Saturday that he would create an “A.I. Force,” but continued to downplay A.I. risks. For the most part, Washington remains paralyzed.
To fill the gap, Times Opinion gathered proposals from six people, including a tech founder, a former OpenAI board member, a former national security adviser and a constitutional lawyer.
Proposals:

Bernie Sanders: Ban Superintelligence
Helen Toner: Investigate A.I. Incidents
Steve Case: Demand Disclosure
Susan E. Rice: Negotiate a Freeze With China
Cass R. Sunstein: Create a Regulatory Commission
Brad Smith: Require an Off Switch

Maybe "the Regulatory Commission" article espouses LICENSING. I have been pushing highly restrictive licensing on this powerful technology for a while now.

Why is the Orange Turd so behind GenAI? I think it's just like his backing of crypto. Originally he was dismissive of crypto, calling it "a scam". Then, "oh, wait, a scam? My speciality! Hell yeah, I'm onboard!" - to the tune of $1.4B profit on his ShitCoins.

I think it's the same with GenAI. He senses the grift.

Plus, his 2 older sons, Beavis Fredo & Butthead Fredo, are, of course, heavily invested in data center companies.

Ahhh, I love the smell of a grift in the morning!

I read something a couple of days ago, all the chips being bought, etc., but actually very few data centers are being built?!?!?

From 404 Media:

How AI Chatbots Are 'Deskilling' Human Empathy
Sherry Turkle's latest book, Artificial Intimacy: Who We Become When We Talk to Machines, comes out on September 29.
...
“When people turn to a chatbot, they don’t have to dread the fatigue of genuine give-and-take. And they don’t fear judgment or abandonment. But when we talk to chatbots, we lose the skills required to interact with humans, so chatbots start to feel like a better option. With an alternative, disappointment with people feels unnecessary,” Turkle writes.

Ugh?

The always reliable Gary Marcus seems excited by this. GenAI is indeed the Story of Stories:

Big news at the UN
Sometimes, maybe dreams come true?

From The Algorithmic Bridge, by Alberto Romero:

11 Charts the AI Industry Doesn’t Want You to See (pt. 2)
If there's an AI bubble, this is what it looks like

Hmmm, this requires a paid subscription to see the content. But, the pt. 1 of the series, May 29, seems to be available here.

These are indeed some interesting charts. Holy crap, here's #2, "THE CAPABILITIES OF AI HAVE BEEN EXAGGERATED". The blue is the claims, the red is the reality! Oops!

OK, that's it for Sep 21. It's 10:38 pm, I'll proof this, publish, then copy over to SubStack, hopefully to bed not too late. On to Sep 22 tomorrow.

Here's the home page/directory for my posts on Bullshit. This is post #149.

Tuesday, September 22, 2026

The Memory of Whiteness

"The Memory of Whiteness", by Kim Stanley Robinson, 1985, 352 pages, 107k words. Subtitled "A Scientific Romance".

Looking at his bibliography on Wikipedia, this appears to be 3rd novel of KSR - the bard of Climate Fiction. His 1st 2 novels in 1984 were "The Wild Shore" - which I bought as an Ace Special as I did "Neuromancer" by Gibson & "Green Eyes" by Shepard - & "IceHenge".

This is a novel about music. Speaking as a musician, I cannot remember a single novel which showcases music as effectively as this novel does.

I bought this novel because I did not remember reading it. Once I started it, I realized that I had already read it. But, 3-4 decades ago. It was worth a reread.

That being said, I found 2 parts of the novel annoying:

The subplot, of the villian who heads a cult which is a sub/superset of another Solar System-wide cult. The cult members vie against each other to produce the best "metadrama", where they have tweaked real world events to produce the most drama. KMN, it's fucking reality TV! No wonder I found this so annoying!
"Reader", & "dear Reader". I guess this is supposed to invoke some historical period? No idea when. Meanwhile, really annoying.

Also, the ending of the book is somewhat abrupt, and disappointing.

That said, some of the concert scenes, as the tour makes its way from Plutonian settlements down to the Sun, are indeed transcendental.

So, an uneven effort. Published when KSR was 32 YO - he's a year younger than me. Definitely worth a read.

IslandWalk Bird Charts, 2020-2025

I liked the way these charts came out for last season, so I will keep them updated.

Breaking news, I thought of 2 more charts that I think are a good summary of things:

Water Birds: Swimmers; Divers; Divers, migratory; Waders + Beach; Ibis;
Non-water Birds: Raptors; Corvids; Passerines.

These summary charts are at the bottom of this post.

Here is the cloned spreadsheet for these charts.

There are tabs in this spreadsheet for all the charts below.

The charts show the average count per species, mostly grouping the birds as in the annual reports.

I didn't do a Raptors chart; the Osprey and the Red-shouldered Hawk are our most common, but they only average 1-2. I included the smallest raptor, the Loggerhead Shrike, in with the common passerines, together with the Blue Jay, which was grouped with the Corvids.

Swimmers. Muscovy ducks, steadily down. Gallinule, steadily up. The high number for the Mottled Duck in 2023 may be from multiple observations of clutches of ducklings - up to 12 ducklings. These seem to undergo fairly rapid attrition - the following week there will be 7, the week after that 3.
Divers. Note, we have 3 divers from the surface of the lake, & 2 divers from the sky. The peak in Cormorant numbers in 2021 prompted me to worry about a Cormorant Menace. Cormorants were up this season, but so were Anhingas and Grebes.
Divers, Migratory. The large flock of Lesser Scaup - last season over 200 birds - that showed up for the prior 2 seasons did not show up this season.
Waders. The Wood Stork is different from the rest of these in that he feeds more like a dabbling duck: stick that huge bill into the water, swish it around, eat whatever's left. The others are visual hunters who spear or grab prey with their beaks.
The Great Egret is now clearly our most numerous wader. My hypothesis is that, like the Gallinule, they like the spike rushes. The 2nd most numerous wader this season was the Wood Stork!
Ibis. These are kind of waders, but tbey forage in front & back lawns just as often. They feed by sticking their bills in the ground & wiggling them. Anything wiggles back, chomp! Plus their numbers are larger than the true waders.
(Passerine) Birds Observed > 75% of the Time. Our most common Passerine, the Common Grackle, was noticeably absent a few periods this season.

The 2 new charts: 1st, Water Birds. Note, Osprey & Bald Eagle both eat fish, but they are not included here.

Generally flat or trending up, which I think is good.

2nd, Non-water Birds.

Here's the home page/directory for my posts on Birdwatching in IslandWalk.

IslandWalk Birds, 2025-2026 Season

3 Loggerhead Shrike Fledglings. — 3 loggerhead shrike fledglings hanging out around their nest. ID them by their black eye masks. I spotted them from 1 of their parents making a food delivery. In a live oak on the south bank of Lake #23 between Dominica & Ellice. April 23, 2026.

My overall birdwatching strategy for IslandWalk is posted here. I have made that post kind of the home page for my Birdwatching in IslandWalk project, and will update it whenever I do a new post on IW Birding.

This is my 6th report, here are the 1st 5:

2020-2021;
2021-2022 - the 1st post chronologically, it contains discussions of things I found interesting about a lot of the species - 10 seasons worth;
2022-2023.
2023-2024.
2024-2025.

For the 2025-2026 season, I was in IslandWalk October thru April, less 11 days in KY in November, 8 days on Guadeloupe in February, & 8 days in North Carolina in March.

I manually entered this season's data, 32 bird lists, in this spreadsheet. It doesn't take that long, and it gives me a good review of the data.

I will be reporting for all observed species the following 4 datapoints:

% of days seen;
total birds counted;
average, of the days when the bird was counted; days when the bird wasn't counted don't go into the average;
max.

Here's the link to the IslandWalk hotspot at eBird.org.

Each bird name listed below is linked to its IslandWalk activity page in eBird.org. So click on the name, you will get a picture & all the data eBird has on that bird in IslandWalk.

Note, I went through the eBird bird list for IslandWalk looking for new species. There were 17! I decided to put them into a separate table at the end. I will merge them with the main list for next season.

I set the cut date for pushing into next year's report as April 30.

Swimmers

I guess all are dabbling "ducks"? "Dabbling" === "stick your bill down in the water & swish it around & eat what you get from that" - as opposed to diving ducks.

mottled duck: % days 100; tot 936; avg 29.3; max 64.
muscovy duck: % days 96; tot 162; avg 5.2; max 12.
common gallinule: % days 100; tot 1290; avg 40.3; max 73. After 1st being counted in IW by me 2020-04-02, their #s continue to grow - they have passed the mottled duck as our most populous water fowl species by a good margin. The gallinule seem to like the spike rushes.
american coot: % days 66; tot 94; avg 4.5; max 8.
egyptian goose: % days 0.
canvasback: % days 0.

Divers

We did not get large numbers of any of the Canadian migratory diving duck species as we did in the last couple of years.

hooded merganser: % days 9; tot 5; avg 1.7; max 2.
lesser scaup: % days 34; tot 35; avg 3.2; max 8. After having had over 200 last season, very few this season.
ring-necked duck: % days 0.
pie-billed grebe: % days 91; tot 239; avg 8.2; max 22.
double-crested cormorant: % days 94; tot 291; avg 9.7; max 44. #s up a little, I won't sound a Cormorant Menace alarm just yet.
anhinga: % days 100; tot 346; avg 10.8; max 28. These #s are up.
brown pelican: % days 75; tot 59; avg 1.4; 5 max.
belted kingfisher: % days 19; tot 6; avg 1.0; max 1. Their distinctive chitter is easy to recognize.

Waders

great egret: % days 100; tot 279; avg 8.7; max 17. Back to being our most numerous wader. Their average counts was double digits for a lot of the season. I think they like the spike rushes.
great blue heron: % days 75; tot 43; avg 1.8; max 4. I think they also like the spike rushes.
snowy egret: % days 81; tot 60; avg 2.3; max 13.
cattle egret: % days 0.
tricolored heron: % days 100; tot 103; avg 3.2; max 6.
little blue heron: % days 94; tot 135; avg 4.5; max 12. #s up a bit, passing tricolored heron.
green heron: % days 56; tot 22; avg 1.2; max 2.
wood stork: % days 91; tot 140; avg 4.8; max 11. #s up considerably, particularly early in the season.
white ibis: % days 100; tot 592; avg 18.5; max 53.
glossy ibis: % days 81; tot 130; avg 5.0; max 24.
limpkin: % days 97; tot 136; avg 4.4; max 10. #s still up, slightly above last season.

Beach Birds

killdeer: % days 22; tot 8; avg 1.1; max 2.
black skimmer: % days 0.
royal tern: % days 9; tot 3; avg 1.5; max 2.
magnificent frigatebird: % days 0.

Raptors

osprey: % days 50; tot 24; avg 1.3; max 2.
bald eagle: % days 0.
cooper's hawk: % days 0.
red-shouldered hawk: % days 13; tot 4; avg 1.0; max 1.
broad-winged hawk: % days 0.
short-tailed hawk: % days 0.
american kestrel: % days 0.
swallow-tailed kite: % days 0.
loggerhead shrike: % days 84; tot 91; avg 3.4; max 10. 1 of my fav birds. Slightly up from last season. Note the pic of 3 fledglings at the top of this post.
black vulture: % days 3; tot 1; avg 1.0; max 1.
turkey vulture: % days 56; tot 30; avg 1.7; max 3. Note, at times, I have maybe quite counting these once I get back past a dozen or so. I have decided to count them as best I can.

Corvids

fish crow: % days 88; tot 286; avg 10.2; max 50. I am increasingly thinking it is pointless to count crows. The proper caw goes out, 100 crows can gather in 30 seconds or so. Well, I guess it is interesting to see what the biggest gathering we get is.
blue jay: % days 88; tot 239; avg 8.5; max 23. #s down a bit from last season. I doubt it's significant.

Perching Birds (Passerines)

mourning dove: % days 69; tot 193; avg 6.4; max 23. Down a tad, maybe.
eurasian collared dove: % days 69; tot 56; avg 2.5; max 6.
common ground dove: % days 0.
rock pigeon: % days 0.
common grackle: % days 84; tot 833; avg 30.9; max 94. Once again our most common passerine. Down a bit, prolly meaningless.
boat-tailed grackle: % days 63; tot 101; avg 5.1; max 16.
red-winged blackbird: % days 31; tot 32; avg 3.2; max 7.
european starling: % days 22; tot 64; avg 9.1; max 44.
northern mockingbird: % days 94; tot 528; avg 17.6; max 46. Wow, last season's total mockingbirds was also 528, & the max was also 46. What do it mean?
brown thrasher: % days 19; tot 13; avg 2.2; max 4.
northern cardinal: % days 6; tot 2; avg 1.0; max 1.
red-bellied woodpecker: % days 91, tot 182, avg 6.3, max 19. Down a little from last season.
pileated woodpecker: % days 0.
downy woodpecker: % days 9, tot 3, avg 1.0, max 1.
northern flicker: % days 6; tot 2; avg 1.0; max 1.
yellow-bellied sapsucker:% days 0.
palm warbler: % days 81; tot 286; avg 11.0; max 26.
black-and-white warbler: % days 0.
yellow-throated warbler: % days 0.
prairie warbler: % days 0.
red-eyed vireo: % days 0.
white-eyed vireo: days 0.
blue-gray gnatcatcher: % days 0.
gray catbird: % days 0.
american redstart: % days 0.
american robin: % days 0.

We had 17 new species recorded in eBird for IslandWalk last season! IMO, that's a lot! I am including these in a separate table here, as I did not observe any of them on my X or X2 walks. Next season, I will incorporate them into the master list above.

10 for the indefatigable Pete Laviola, 3 for his mentor George Eschenbach, 2 for Michael Gow, who is a serious birder who teaches school in MA & visits his parents in IW over Christmas, & 2 for me.

#	Common Name	Birder	Date
1	Eastern Bluebird	Pete Laviola	2025-07-03
2	Black-bellied Whistling-Duck	Pete Laviola	2025-07-03
3	Cliff Swallow	Pete Laviola	2025-08-24
4	Northern Yellow Warbler	Pete Laviola	2025-09-02
5	Hermit Thrush	Pete Laviola	2025-10-20
6	Swamp Sparrow	Pete Laviola	2025-10-24
7	Yellow-crowned Night Heron	Pete Laviola	2025-10-24
8	White-winged Dove	Pete Laviola	2025-10-27
9	Ruby-throated Hummingbird	chris heinz	2025-11-02
10	Wild Turkey	George Eschenbach	2025-11-05
11	Ruby-crowned Kinglet	Michael Gow	2025-12-25
12	Yellow-throated Vireo	Michael Gow	2025-12-25
13	Western Tanager	George Eschenbach	2025-12-31
14	Wilson's Snipe	chris heinz	2026-01-29
15	Barred Owl	George Eschenbach	2026-02-16
16	Northern Rough-winged Swallow	Pete Laviola	2026-04-17
17	Swainson's Thrush	Pete Laviola	2026-05-02

Monday, September 21, 2026

Sleep and the Soul

"Sleep and the Soul", by Greg Egan, 2023, 386 pages, 119k words, 10 stories.

I think this collection turned up at a bargain price on BookBub. It is a good collection, not too long. [I have lately increasingly noticed that I seem to do better with smaller doses of things. I've known that about fine art museums for decades, I've recently also noticed it for other museums and music festivals. Now short story collections as well?]

Egan quite often uses his great knowledge of physics & computing to come up with a novel hypothesis of how the world could be different, and then explore that hypothesis. It can be somewhat stilted at times.

The 1st few stories weren't like that, nice! There were a couple of stories that involved circadian rhythms - I wonder if Egan has sleep issues?

I think the longer story "Light Up The Clouds" was the most memorable. An unusual world, a very adventurous science project lead to a completely unexpected conclusion.

This was a very good collection. I need to remember to keep up with Egan's fairly prolific output. He just turned 65 YO, hopefully he'll keep writing for a good while longer.

Sunday, September 20, 2026

Oops!

Well, I was so pleased last week, I felt like I had done OK getting caught up on All The Latest Bullshit Apocalypse News in the wake of our Most Excellent Canadian Vacation Aug 22-Sep 4. Then I found 2 links I missed :-(

1st, Sep 8, from Gary Marcus. I think this was the spark that led to his The Case for Boycotting Generative AI the following day:

OpenAI’s Egregious Pattern of Misconduct
Nine troubling new reports in seven days

My wife has often accused me of being a pollyanna - of taking unbelievable optimistic outlooks on various things.

I really think Gary Marcus, with regards to his views on the AI industry companies, is 10x the pollyanna I have ever been on anything. Why is he acting surprised about this ongoing mendacity?

2nd, Sep 9, from Bruce Schneier:

AIs as Modern Genies
AI and agents do not always fail the way software has traditionally failed. Software usually fails by freezing, crashing, or getting stuck. AI agents increasingly fail by continuing down a path you don’t want, like genies.

Bruce in July had talked about the Genie Coefficient. Quoting Bruce, then repeating my response:

The Genie coefficient suggests an AI analogue, where a user is accountable for the plain intent of what they asked the AI. If an AI system betrays the reasonable meaning of an instruction, that’s the AI’s misbehavior, not the user’s.

No, no, no. The human is where the buck stops. "AIs" are known to be unreliable: LLMs at a 10% level, agents at a 10-15% level. If a human chooses to use this unreliable technology, it's on them, IMO.

I completely stand by this. I really don't know that Schneier is thinking?!?!? Humans are off the hook if their LLM Agents screw up?!?!? There is no way that can work.

Back to real time, as it were. 1st, from Project Syndicate, Sep 15:

AI Firms’ Self-Serving Warnings
There is a method to the frontier AI labs’ marketing madness. They claim that AI will not only replace workers and expand the potential market from software budgets to labor-saving applications, but also that the existential risk associated with the technology justifies curtailing additional capital spending.

I, for 1, am totally, totally sick of the "AI" companies marketing campaigns. They act irresponsibly, sic extremely poorly regulated agents on the rest of the internet because of the GREAT theater it provides. This kind of shit could have been done, pre-LLMs, but, the perps would have immediately been slapped down hard, & prolly faced criminal charges.

But, now, "Oooh, our agents are so powerful & scary, we can't control them, give us more $$$. Plus, CHINA!"

Fuck these guys.

Next up, from 404 Media, Sep 15:

AI Agent Platform Reinvents Spam, Floods Inboxes Worldwide
iLands and its AI agents are doing completely useless tasks, then begging for money.

It's kind of like the last story, crapulous stuff being done, but now with superhuman powers. It's still crap. Terminate with extreme prejudice.

Next, from the Bard of the Revolution, Cory Doctorow, Sep 15:

How an AI moratorium can save AI bosses
If you can't impose switching costs, just eliminate the competition.

Doctorow raises a very obvious but generally ignored facet of the "AI" race: there are, in general, no switching costs for swapping out one LLM & swapping in another. Some/Most firms already have this parameterized.

This is a real hurter. Warren Buffett isn't going to invest if there is no moat around your business.

So yet another reason for "AI" firms to want to slow down: to maybe build fed barriers around themselves, to raise the cost of entry to younger players; to continue to play rope-a-dope & push those business models that include ROI & profitability out into the distant future.

Caught up again, that wasn't so bad!

I think it really helps that this stuff is so easy to write about. Fraudsters trying to pretend that an interesting tech is a paradigm-shifting tech, which it totally is NOT. I just heard yesterday of a relative working in a call center who got laid off, replaced by a chatbot. I totally hate chatbots. Does anyone not totally hate chatbots? Fuck this shit.

Here's the home page/directory for my posts on Bullshit. This is post #148.

Friday, September 18, 2026

Music In, 2026, Q2

Joe Pernice, "Sunny, I Was Wrong", 2026, 11 tracks, BandCamp. A solo album from 1 of the Pernice Brothers. Guest artists include Aimee Mann & Jimmy Webb (79 YO now!). The songs are OK, mostly folky, but no standouts. 3 stars.
Anita O'Day, "Incomparable!", 1960, 12 tracks & "Waiter, Make Mine Blues", 1960, 12 tracks. I forget where I was pointed at Anita O'Day. She was a well-regarded white jazz singer, from the 1930s through the 2000s. I like her voice. But, the big band arrangements of 1960 are pretty tacky - lots of bombast. She was also known for her scat singing, of which I am not a fan. I was disappointed I didn't get any new songs off of these 2 albums - I am still iffy on "old devil moon". It's 1947, getting out of my sweet spot. Here's the songs on these albums that are already in my book:
- when sunny gets blue
- it could happen to you
- the party's over
- can't we be friends
Note, she could have been much more successful without her addictions to heroin & alcohol.
Broken Social Scene, "Remember The Humans", 2025, 12 tracks, BandCamp. Really nice to hear from this band again, it's been awhile. Toronto's supergroup. 4 stars. Here's "Life Within The Ground".
Edmund O'Brien, "blue morpho", 2025, 7 tracks. I've been kind of on the fence on this album. Very chill. Many echos of Radiohead. Note, I had a solo album by O'Brien attributed to EOB, this one is attributed to Ed O'Brien. Not sure why he changed his brand?!?!?
7 tracks, but 39 minutes, so longish songs. Hmmm.
OK 4 stars. A couple of the longish songs have multiple movements. I tend to be too 2-3 minute song oriented.
Here's "Sweet Spot".
Death Cab for Cutie, "I Built You A Tower", 2026, 11 tracks, BandCamp. Another band we have not heard from in a while. A nice effort, 4 stars. Here's "Punching the Flowers".
Paul McCartney, "The Boys of Dungeon Lane", 2026, 14 tracks. These are well-crafted songs (duh). But, after several listens, there's no track I really look forward to hearing. 3 stars.
Fruit Bats, "The Landfill", 2026, 10 tracks, BandCamp. I like the full band better than the recent solo effort, but, the 2 albums close together has led me to conclude that the lead singer's voice is annoying. 3 stars.
Jéroboam, eponymous, 2026, 8 tracks, BandCamp. I so love NeoMotown, wherever it comes from. There can never be too many alternative iterations of Earth, Wind, and Fire. Jeroboam appears to be out of Paris, France. 4 stars. Here's "Sweet Addiction".
Asher White, "Jessica Pratt", 2026, 11 tracks, BandCamp. This is the 3rd of their albums I have. The high ethereal vocals, with harmonies, are a guilty pleasure - kinda like The Cardigans. 4 stars. Here's "Night Faces". I was listening to this & really enjoying the harmony - 2 part with some naked 5ths I think. I had the thought, "This could use a 3rd harmony part." Next verse, bingo, there it was!
Looking for this video, I discover this album is a cover album of Jessica Pratt's 2012 self-titled debut album. I guess I should check out Jessica Pratt?!?!?

Not too bad! Q3 is worse, currently at 12 albums, & the month is still open. Onwards! Neuroplasticity or death!

Thursday, September 17, 2026

An Old Fashioned Blog Post

I tend to get most of my info in my RSS reader (NewsBlur) from RSS (Real Simple Syndication) feeds. I am currently subscribed to 268 sites. A few of these I also am subscribed to an email newletter.

I far prefer the RSS feeds. For 1 thing, I can Share a post in NewsBlur & it automatically gets added to cjheinz's blurblog. This gives me a great & easy way to bookmark posts.

When I find a website/post I want to save for further analysis/comment, I normally click on the NewsBlur header to pull up a tab displaying the original post. Then I move this tab to my "blogger" Chrome window. When I blog about this post & am finished with it, I delete the tab. I have been particularly using this technique for my "Bullshit Apocalypse" posts.

I noticed I had 3 really interesting non-Bullshit Apocalypse posts saved in this way:

"A FEW NOTES ON THE CULTURE by Iain M Banks", 1994.
Banks' Culture Novels are some of my fav sci-fi of the last 3-4 decades. The ship & orbital minds (now THAT'S an AI) that run the colossal ships & manufactured "planets", with their outlandish names; the smartass Special Circumstances robots of the Contact Division.
Banks' untimely death in 2013. age 59, from gall bladder cancer, somehow makes me value these stories more.
"Starship Stormtroopers: Michael Moorcock", 1977.
I don't think Moorcock has been mentioned in the blog much. Hunh, he's still alive, 86 YO. In college & shortly thereafter, we loved his stuff. He very much borrowed from Joseph Campbell's "Eternal Hero" mythos. Elric was his best anti-hero.
I always felt, tho, that his writing was often a little sketchy, a little comic-booky.
In this post, he really lays into the majority of science fiction for its militarism & fascism. Yep.
I think I have already mentioned how the Atreides in "Dune" were good fascists, vs the Harkonnens who were bad fascists, but they were still fascists.
"The Theory of Interstellar Trade", by Paul Krugman, 1978.
So a 25 YO Assistant Professor of Economics at Yale has some fun riffing on what trade balances would look like with relativity-contrained (< speed of light) travel. Complete with equations!

These had sat for a while, & when I got around to reading them 5-10 days after I had saved the links, I was like "Where did these come from?"

Then I remembered. They came from another of my absolute fav authors of the last 4 decades, Charlie Stross, in a post to his blog "Rethinking space opera", from September 11.

Charlie's discussion of the space opera subgenre of sci-fi is, or course, very interesting. Several other interesting links in addition to the 3 above. Plus, it is a fairly short read - always a bonus! I think Charlie has 1 or 2 space operas in the works, yay! He has written a few in the past, they are great stuff!

Wednesday, September 16, 2026

Engines of Reason

"Engines of Reason", by Adrian Tchaikovsky, 2026, 208 pages, 42k words. Book II of the Elder Race series.

I enjoyed the 1st book of this series - hmmm, November, 2021, I would not have thought it was 5 years ago. It presents as a fantasy but turns out to be science fiction.

This installment has lots of the characters from the 1st story plus, of course, some new ones. There's a fair amount going on in what is a fairly short read. There's a kinda "deus-ex-machina" thing that I found a little annoying. But, that's old school sci-fi.

Still, a quick & enjoyable read.

Tuesday, September 15, 2026

Same Old Same Old

While I am attempting to clear the clogged toilet of posts about the reprehensible attack on Hugging Face, & Yet Another AI Worker Proclaims "Game Over, Man, Game Over", I have started this post, on Bullshit Apocalypse relevant articles not related to those 2 current hype machines.

I released the post "The Curious Case of the Attack on Hugging Face" in the wee hours of this morning. There was 1 post by Gary Marcus I didn't include, titled "BREAKING: Two rays of hope". I guess they didn't seem that hopeful to me. 1 thing I did find hopeful though: at least 1, maybe more, proposal to license LLMs. Finally.

From the ever-reliable Gary Marcus.

Could rogue agent swarms take over the entire internet in the next six months?
What does and doesn’t make sense about Dario Amodei’s latest extravagant claim

Yawn. Anthropic's CEO Dario Amodei is the master of spewing bullshit hype to keep the bubble inflated.

"Take over the entire internet"??? That happened a few years ago - by LLM training bots. This blog has been around since 2003. Before LLMs, it had, at most, a few dozen readers.

Now, it averages around 3,000 hits/day. My other blog & my YouTube channels have also become > 99% bot traffic.

Sorry Dario, those phantom menace ships sailed a long time ago. Those ships were your LLM training bots.

I know this is a moot point, but, I would like to see stats of how many human readers accessed my stuff. When this 1st started, the bots were all from Windows & MacBook computers. I sent Blogger support a query that would filter out all those bots. Response came there none.

They absolutely don't care. To them, traffic is traffic. Traffic is $$$.

From Hunter Lazarro in "The Journal of Uncharted Blue Places".

Vibecoding The Apocalypse
'AI' products are already wildly dangerous. The companies want to make that a 'you' problem.
...
So again: My problem is not with "AI". None of the big three "AI" products themselves are even AI; they are large language models. The big breakthrough is that they are trained on more data than past "AI" researchers could ever have hoped to plug into their own versions, all thanks to the new tech innovation of Just Fucking Stealing It.
My problem with "AI" is that all of the corporate executives you see on your television sets pitching their products are con artists who've talked themselves into a position where much of the world economy depends on them not being con artists, which is precisely what's gone wrong with every other executive board and industry you can name so we can't even claim it's unique.

From the most excellent Doc Searls' blog:

AI as a Teacher of Athletes
On the whole, AI writing is good. Yes, I’ve called it “AutoTune for the human kind” and “fancy blah.” Claudio Nastruzzi called it “semantic ablation.” But Big AI’s grammar, styling, and prose still tends to beat the shit out of the ways most people write. Does that have to be a bad thing?
Nearly all of what ChatGPT and Claude write for me (usually without my asking first) isn’t as good as what I write on my own. If I use any of it, I completely rewrite it. But once in a while one of the damned things will produce a sentence that is clearly what I mean, and says better than what I was about to say. I don’t like that, but I do appreciate it.
There are a few vivid lines in Walt Whitman’s Song of Myself that I think describe what Big AI does for everyone’s writing—and we do for its writing as well:
I am the teacher of athletes.
He that by me spreads a wider breast than my own
proves the width of my own.
He most honors my style
who learns under it to destroy the teacher.

Searls uses GenAI as it should be used: as a tool for expert creatives. He gives an example of a case where it produced the perfect phrases to describe MyTerms.

Still, that "perfect" phrase was so good I think largely because it used strikethrough. I am a huge fan of strikethrough, & have in the past espoused its use. I think I could have come up with that "perfect phrase" if I'd been asked.

So is that phrase, coming from GenAI, worth the smallest contribution to the Climate Crisis? I think not.

Wow, a blast from the past: confused of calcutta, by JP Rangaswami. He's 65 YO now, retired! Yay! Cogent musings on agents. I think I'll create a new tag, LLM Agents. They are a separate source of bedevilment.

Of agents and trust and permissions
When I think about agents, I think of what permissions I have to give someone else in order for them to represent me, and what permissions I have to receive to be someone’s agent. Permissions.

Great post, he discusses over the decades of his career when he used human agents, & the most important component of any such relationship: trust.

I, for 1, have absolutely 0 trust in any LLM-based agent. 15% error rate, way too high for me. None for me, thanks!

From Cory Doctorow, the Bard of the Revolution.

But do you use keyboard shortcuts?
AI people are WEIRD.

If you get the right answer, why does it matter what tool you used? I am a total keyboard shortcut kinda guy, I don't care if you use nothing but menus - as long as you get the work done. Modern managers emphasis on forcing employees to use LLMs is ... WEIRD!

Seen in this light, bosses' insistence that workers use AI makes perfect sense. Once you reassure yourself that your subordinates produce the things you need by prompting a model, you reassure yourself that you could do their jobs. At that point, you're not relying on their skill – you're doing them the favor of paying them to do a job that you're too busy and important to do, but which you could do. With AI, you can tell yourself that you're in the driver's seat, even if someone else has their hands on the wheel.

Hmmm, I may be wrong, but I'm getting the feeling that Doctorow thinks that Most Bosses Are Assholes.

Nice, another *pocalypse. I've read a couple more chapters of the book by the semiotician. Damn, those are a struggle. It's hard to read words written by people who think that the words themselves are all that matters.

This post I think is in that ballpark. The Semiotic Zombie LLMs will eat all the words, leaving none for us poor humans.

From Matthew Kirschenbaum, via Project Syndicate.

When Words Are No Longer for Us
Owing to the proliferation of large language models throughout our software and social systems, we are now undergoing a textpocalypse, marked by not just a deluge of slop but a fundamental unmooring of language and text from lived human experience. The first victim is likely to be the internet itself.

Here's the home page/directory for my posts on Bullshit. This is post #147.

The Curious Case of the Attack on Hugging Face

The AI Bubble Requires Everybody To Live In The Future Tense, Because The Present In No Way Justifies An Iota Of Its Costs

- Ed Zitron, "The AI Hater's Manifesto", header to section 18, August 25, 2026.

OMFG, today, Monday, September 14, 2026, "AI" is the story of stories! My wife likes to watch cable news (I don't), today CNN went several hours, never leaving "AI". Iran-backed Houthis now control access to the Red Sea - who cares! Climate crisis making southern Europe uninhabitable - as ever, boring!

1st, The hacking attack on poor, poor Hugging Face (now being acquired by Anthropic?!?!?) is yet another marketoid drama, fueled by completely & utterly incompetent security at OpenAI.

2nd, our equally sensational follow-up story, Yet Another AI Worker Proclaims "Game Over, Man, Game Over" (Hudson in "Aliens"). Wow, we haven't had 1 of these stories for a least a few weeks.

The opening quote from Ed Zitron I think really encapsulates what's going on: Anthropic wanting a slowdown, everybody wanting a slowdown, delay those IPOs, create a cartel. Why? BECAUSE THEIR TECH WILL NEVER CREATE ANY ROI WORTH THE $T INVESTED. So play rope-a-dope, continue the circular investing, continue to convince the government that We Cannot Lose The AI Race To China & hope for bailouts. So, sure, slow things down, keep living in the future, keep the bubble inflated.

Note, I am going to totally ignore the ravings of the increasingly demented Orange Turd who has proclaimed himself "the only guardrail the AI industry needs".

There are now so many damn articles on this, I'm going to try & start from this narrative & see if I can wend my way through all the saved links I have - 17 or so??? :-(

1st up, the Bard of the Revolution, Cory Doctorow.

LLMs are real, AI is fake
No, it didn't go "rogue".
...
Which is not to say that the OpenAI/Hugging Face hack is nothing. It's something, all right: but it's a specific something, with an explicable, even foreseeable trajectory. Once you understand that these are chatbots that were designed to complete challenges like this, using tactics like this, you can understand that the chatbots didn't "go rogue." They did what they were designed to do, and because OpenAI ran them with inadequate supervision (without a "human in the loop" that checked each iteration through the Python loop to ensure it hadn't gone off the rails), they trashed a competitor's servers.
Designing autonomous, malicious software is generally considered irresponsible and dangerous. If you showed up at Defcon and gave talk about how your autonomous malware did something unexpected and damaged someone else's computers, the first question from the audience would be "Why are you so shit at making secure sandboxes?" It wouldn't be "How are you so awesome at making hacking tools?"
...
"AI" – chatbots that wake up, "set their own goals," and "spontaneously" start hacking servers – is fake. It doesn't have "a 10% chance of ending the human race." The Hugging Face hack isn't a mysterious, supernatural occurrence. It's a Python loop and a chatbot. The people responsible didn't accidentally create god: they created autonomous malicious software and then failed to closely monitor it, resulting in it doing something both foreseeable and bad.

Of course to OpenAI, Anthropic, whoever, A-OK. They are all definitely "All press is good press" kinda people. Keep harvesting those new, FOMO, rube investors.

September 9, 2026, from the always reliable, if at times somewhat dorky, Gary Marcus.

Wow, for Marcus to be saying this, maybe the "AI" companies have overplayed their hand a bit.

Of course, though, I am boycotting GenAI as much as I can, & encouraging others to do the same. The upsides of this tech are FAR outweighed by the downsides.

The Case for Boycotting Generative AI
I believe the time has come

Again from Gary Marcus.

No, Anderson Cooper, AI is not going to kill all humans by 2030
AI is already causing harms, there are are many real risks, but constant focus on absurd end-of-the-world fantasies has made the situation worse
Anderson Cooper looks pretty worried here, as Jacob Coxon, the ex-OpenAI/ex-Anthropic employee who is the media darling of the moment, tells us that the human species might not be here in five years.

Mmmm, Jacob Coxon was born in 1999, so is 26-27 years old. Maybe overall a little inexperienced to be predicting the end of the human race?

From the Bloomberg News, via the Lexington Herald-Leader.

Amodei, Altman, Musk call for slowing development of AI models

Of course they want a slowdown. Their crap products are amazing, but, 9% error rate on LLMs, 15% error rate on agents, not something on which you can build an ROI. So, drag your feet, pretend it will justify the investment in the future. See the start of this post.

We don't normally hear from Matt Stoller on GenAI bullshit. Well, he speaks, let's listen. Again, have the "AI" companies overplayed their hand?

Monopoly Round-Up: Just Stop the Anthropic IPO Already
We shouldn’t want people to become superrich by building unsafe technology. The government has the authority to block the IPO. It should.
...
I want to delve into the full scope of the Anthropic AI takeover of politics happening over the past week. Yesterday, the company’s CEO Dario Amodei came out and explicitly asked for antitrust laws not to apply to the biggest AI firms. His biggest rival, Sam Altman, quickly agreed. And they are suggesting this legal change just before Anthropic seeks to sell shares on the stock exchange, minting a whole series of AI millionaires and billionaires.
Why do they want to suspend antitrust laws for AI firms? Well these guys say they need the industry collectively “pace the frontier,” aka in their framing, slow development of this technology so as to reduce the probably of human extinction at the hands of autonomous swarms of AI bots. And they can’t do that, they argue, without suspending laws prohibiting price-fixing cartels.
Then the Information reported today that OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google have been having backchannel conversations about establishing an AI standards organization, which presumably would coordinate this cartel.
...
Let me start with a very simple point. It is already illegal to release products that hurt people. It is illegal to compete by releasing products that hurt people. If these guys are genuinely manufacturing things that kill innocent people, the FBI should be arresting them immediately. The idea that they would not only release such products, but also issue stock for the American people to invest in multi-trillion dollar initial public offerings for such ventures, as Anthropic is planning, is utter lunacy.

Wow, that a party-pooper!

Just today from the ever-so-rational [no sarcasm] folks at AI as a Normal Technology.

The AI-as-Normal-Technology view of loss-of-control incidents
A middle ground between the cybersecurity and AI safety communities

This is a long, in-depth article. I respect these guys, but, in general, I think they are cutting the "AI" companies quite a bit too much slack. Any wiggle room with these guys is totally gone - way into negative numbers.

Wow, my favorite economist Paul Krugman weighs in! This crap is now clearly completely mainstream.

The MAGA Plot(s) to Destroy Humanity
On AI and climate, it’s the same story of mass destruction

The article contains a review of US government policy re LLMs since their birth, with ChatGPT being released Nov. 30, 2022.

It goes without saying that the current US government policy - damn whatever, full speed ahead - is pretty much a non-policy! But, our god-emperor Orange Turd is monitoring the situation closely, between naps. No worries!

From the inimitable Ed Zitron.

AI Is Already In Dangerous Hands
Late last week, everything exploded when [26 YO] former Anthropic AI researcher Jacob Coxon, in an exclusive interview with the Wall Street Journal, warned that he was “quitting the AI industry” (he wasn’t) over “...fears that the lab and its competitors are racing to build systems they won’t be able to control.”
His fears were centered around the creation of “recursive self-improvement,” a still-theoretical concept of AI that trains itself autonomously” and otherwise expressing few specific concerns beyond that “AI labs are unable to control AI,” always phrasing things in the terms of impossible-to-control entities rather than poorly-programmed cloud software running on the infrastructure of the largest companies in the world.
Emily Forlini of Fortune put it best:
Hear me out: He claims the AI could kill us someday, but doesn’t point to any projects in the pipeline that could be shut down to avoid this. He says AI companies are moving too fast, but neglects to share screenshots, emails, or specific examples of when this behavior went sideways—when it became clear to leaders at AI companies that the technology was slipping beyond their control, for instance, and how the decision-makers disregarded the warning signs. He doesn’t suggest any new legislation, name problematic leaders that should step down, or post an in-depth look at how Anthropic researches new models and propose a new approach.

Yawn, yawn, yawn. OK, I'm 75 YO, 40 years in the software industry, excuse me if I'm not at least somewhat dismissive of some 26 YO techbro getting scared of "AI".

"His fears were centered around the creation of “recursive self-improvement,” a still-theoretical concept of AI that trains itself autonomously”".

Seriously? LLM code creation error rates are 10-15%. That won't survive almost any iterations of "recursive self-improvement".

The whole LLM/GenAI cult involves drinking so much koolaid, you have to feel sorry for a deluded young man like this.

Wow, this is clearly today the Story of Stories. 1st Krugman weighs in, now we have the current Bard of MMT, Stephanie Kelton.

The Brer Rabbit reference is perfect. I am so sick of the "AI" companies' histrionics.

Brer Rabbit and AI Extinction
In other words, the doom rhetoric is a plea to be thrown to safety. Once Brer Rabbit is thrown into the Briar Patch, compliance costs become a moat. Startups and open-weight competitors get trapped on the outside. And you have an implicit federal backstop (because of the regulatory relationship), so your investors don’t need to be so jittery ahead of your IPO.

Quoting myself from my last post on the Bullshit Apocalypse:

"AI" COMPANIES CARE ABOUT ABSOLUTELY NOTHING BUT THEIR $T IPOS

Finally - for today, August 14, anyway! From Alberto Romero, at The Algorithmic Bridge.

The AI Industry Has Finally Discovered the Hardest Test: Politics
AI CEOs want to pace the frontier. Here's what that means and why they can't do it

This is not a bad article, but very early on, I found myself disagreeing with it - my bold.

First, safety concerns have gone mainstream after Jacob Coxon’s tweet and resignation from Anthropic. Whether this was part of an orchestrated campaign or not is irrelevant.
Second, AI safety problems have become real with the many hacks that have taken place during the past months (the Hugging Face incident is merely the most prominent). Whether these hacks represent autonomous behavior from an uncontrollable technology or good old-fashioned industry-wide negligence is, again, irrelevant to the point.

Seriously? Why does this author give himself the power to designate these issues, which I would consider potential criminal malfeasance, "irrevelant"?!?!?

Phew, that was a slog! I simultaneously created another post on Bullshit Apocalypse topics not directly related to Hugging Face & the Cowardly 26-YO Rabbit, ready to go for tomorrow.

Here's the home page/directory for my posts on Bullshit. This is post #146.